Picking a major winner out of a field of 156 players has proven astonishingly hard. Thankfully, numbers help. And instead of picking one winner, these numbers will help us pick 155 losers.
So, step-by-step, we get eliminate the losers until one name is remaining.
Only four golfers have won the PGA Championship in their first start in the event. So while we tip our caps to Keegan Bradley (2011), Shaun Micheel (2003), John Daly (1991) and Kevin Tway (1986), everyone making their PGA Championship debuts is out.
Zach J. Johnson
34 players out, 122 remain
Each of the past 26 major champions was ranked in the Top 50 of the Official World Golf Ranking when they won. Sure, it's early in the process, but this kicks out Tiger Woods.
Charles Howell III
Davis Love III
Jordan L. Smith
Rich Berberian, Jr.
Ted Potter, Jr.
73 players out, 49 remain
Not only do you need to have previous PGA Championship experience, you need to have played well in the PGA Championship. Each of the past five winners had a top-20 finish at this event within the previous two years. That means we cross off anyone without a Top-20 finish in this event in 2016 or 2017. Say goodbye to three of the top seven players in the world.
Byeong Hun An
Rafael Cabrera Bello
Si Woo Kim
30 players out, 19 remain
Each of the past 11 PGA Championship winners finished in the top 30 the week before the PGA Championship.
8 players out, 11 remain
With the exception of Rory McIlroy, every PGA champion since 2009 was a first-time major winner. So that leaves those searching for that first major title with hope.
7 players out, 4 remain
Each of the past seven PGA Championship winners ranked no worse than T-31 in scoring average that season.
3 players out, 1 remains
Five of the past six PGA champions ranked in the Top-20 in scoring average leading into the PGA Championship. That leaves just one.
The 2018 PGA Championship winner