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Miami Dolphins' secondary faces enticing matchup vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Bengals (2-8-1) at Dolphins (7-4)

1 p.m. ET | CBS

Matchup rating: 31.1 | Spread: MIA -11.5 (42.5)

What to watch for: Dolphins cornerback Xavien Howard leads the NFL with seven interceptions, all over the past nine games. The NFL's best ball hawk might get a chance to add to his pick total this weekend while facing Brandon Allen, the injury replacement for Joe Burrow at quarterback who committed two turnovers vs. the Giants last weekend. -- Cameron Wolfe

Bold prediction: The Bengals will have fewer than 250 yards of total offense. Between a strong pass defense and a Bengals team that is without its starting quarterback (Burrow) and starting running back (Joe Mixon), gaining yards will be a difficult task. -- Ben Baby

Stat to know: The Dolphins average 0.06 expected points added per play with quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick on the field this season, and minus-0.08 with Tua Tagovailoa. That is equivalent to the difference between the 18th- and 31st-ranked offenses.

Injuries: Bengals | Dolphins

What to know for fantasy: Miami wide receiver DeVante Parker racked up 14 targets and 119 yards in Fitzpatrick's return to the starting lineup. In Tagovailoa's four starts, Parker averaged 6.3 targets and 39.8 yards per game. See Week 13 rankings.

Betting nugget: Miami has covered in six of its past seven games, and Miami is 17-6 ATS since its Week 5 bye last season, the best mark in the league. Read more.

Baby's pick: Dolphins 24, Bengals 10

Wolfe's pick: Dolphins 27, Bengals 13

FPI prediction: MIA, 67.9% (by an average of 6.2 points)

Matchup must-reads: Allen: From COVID-proof emergency QB to Bengals starter ... Why Dolphins' playoff push is invaluable for Tagovailoa's growth ... No matter the QB, Dolphins' defense shows it is key to playoff run