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Falcons' offense might have field day vs. underperforming Bears D

Bears (2-0) at Falcons (0-2)

1 p.m. ET | FOX

Matchup rating: 42.8 | Spread: ATL -4 (48)

What to watch for: The Falcons are 0-2 in a must-win season for coach Dan Quinn, and a home loss to a subpar Bears team would make Quinn's hot seat even hotter. The Falcons have to stick to the formula of balance on offense and creating turnovers on defense. A rash of injuries to players such as Julio Jones and Dante Fowler Jr. might be their big obstacle this week, but the game is too critical to use injuries as a crutch. -- Vaughn McClure

Bold prediction: Bears running back David Montgomery rushes for 100-plus yards for just the third time in his NFL career. Chicago had one of the worst rushing attacks in 2019, but head coach Matt Nagy entered the season with a renewed determination to run the football. Montgomery gained 82 yards on the ground in 16 carries versus the Giants last Sunday. The former third-round pick, who dealt with a groin injury over the summer, is on the verge of having a breakout performance. -- Jeff Dickerson

Stat to know: After catching a pair in each of Atlanta's first two games of the season, Falcons receiver Calvin Ridley now has 21 career receiving touchdowns, the second most by a Falcons player over his first three seasons (Andre Rison, 22).

Injuries: Bears | Falcons

What to know for fantasy: The Falcons have allowed the top scoring fantasy QB in each of the first two weeks, and Mitchell Trubisky does have the third-best fantasy quarter by a QB this season (Week 1, fourth quarter). See Week 3 rankings.

Betting nugget: The Falcons are 4-8 as the home favorite in the last three seasons. Read more.

Dickerson's pick: Falcons 24, Bears 23

McClure's pick: Falcons 35, Bears 21

FPI prediction: ATL, 54.9 (by an average of 1.8 points)

Matchup must-reads: Bears fans mourn loss of Gale Sayers ... Special-teams coach Ben Kotwica takes blame for onside kick fail vs. Dallas Cowboys ... Bears D suspect despite 2-0 start ... Falcons must shore up red zone defense fast to avoid repeat of 2019