It takes matchup with 0-5 Jets for Dolphins to finally be favored

New York Jets (0-5) at Miami Dolphins (2-3)

4:05 p.m. ET | CBS

Matchup rating: 28.7 | Spread: MIA -10 (47)

What to watch for: The Dolphins are favored for the first time in 21 games (December 2018) and favored by more than a touchdown for the first time since November 2016. They haven't won back-to-back games by double digits since 2015, before the Brian Flores and Adam Gase eras in Miami, while the Jets have lost every game this season by at least nine points. Something has to give! -- Cameron Wolfe

Bold prediction: The Jets won't convert more than five third downs. They're 28th in third-down percentage, and the Miami defense is seventh. This will mean a long day for QB Joe Flacco, whose undefeated record against Miami (6-0) will be history. -- Rich Cimini

Stat to know: The Jets have started 0-6 only once in franchise history, in 1996. That team finished 1-15. As of now, the Jets have a league-high 43.6% chance to get the top pick in the 2021 NFL draft, according to FPI.

Injuries: Jets | Dolphins

What to know for fantasy: Miami quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick has scored at least 21 fantasy points in four straight games, the longest streak of his career. See Week 6 rankings.

Betting nugget: Miami is 4-0 ATS against the Jets since the start of the 2018 season. Read more.

Cimini's pick: Dolphins 31, Jets 13

Wolfe's pick: Dolphins 30, Jets 17

FPI prediction: MIA, 73.5% (by an average of 8.6 points)

Matchup must-reads: How Bell ouster affects Jets' locker room and future cap ... Dolphins' Howard, Jones show potential to be top CB duo ... Jets to again start Flacco at QB; Gase to still call plays ... Source: Dolphins' Godchaux has biceps tear ... Bell's ugly ending with Jets raises serious questions